大家好，欢迎来到今天复利财经早盘掌望的分享。隔夜美股三大股指收涨，对A股影响不大。国内方面，值得关注的是，证监会重拳出击，对于恒大地产罚款41.75亿，许家印被罚4700万。这个消息，不单单是对恒大港股本身了，对于A股的地产板块近期也将形成一定的一个拖累。我们之前的观点就一直很明确，对于地产板块，我们都不予参与。 此外，日本媒体深夜放出重磅消息，日本央行将于今天天取消负利率和YCC的框架，这个YCC，也就是收益率曲线控制的意思。这个专业名词解释起来又是一大堆，可能比较烧脑，大家只要记住一点就可以了，它是日本版的量化紧缩，实际上也就意味着日本央行要开始加息了。我们认为对于这个日经指数来说的话，这个加息的消息落地之后，反而是日本股市新一轮起涨点的开始。

此外，英伟达宣布推出最强的AI芯片，成本和能耗号较前一代是改善了25倍。我们认为，这个将继续推动以人工智能为代表的泛科技板块的行情。对于人工智能这一块，我们的观点一直很明确，人工智能从今年来看将继续受到本身的技术革新的多次的带动性的影响。年初的这个SORA所推出的这个已经能够制作一分钟的这个视频，应该说已经引起了一波人工智能的新浪潮。而人工智能行情的继续推进，大家不能拘泥于短期的这些什么估值，位置过高这些因素，它的根本驱动力在于技术的不断革新。

回到盘面，预计的话今天还会有惯性的继续上冲，今天如果说惯性继续上冲的话。基本上就到了3100附近了，这个位置我们认为，3100点一次性越过的可能性非常小，势必要经过多次的争夺。所以今天上冲的过程当中，大家要适当的予以减仓。具体的操作层面来看的话，早盘如果说直接冲的话，一定要谨慎，该减就要减了，板块方面重点还是看首先第一个泛科技，特别是下游的传媒方向，我们预计英伟达接下去将推出的最强的AI芯片。对于下游的这个应用的一个推动是更强的，而游戏和这个传媒是两个下游人工智能应用的一个重点领域。此外的话，中游设备制造，像通用设备，专用设备，交用设备，电网设备，工程机械等，这些板块大家还是要重点的去看，好的，喜欢我们节目频道朋友，请关注订阅，您的支持是我们持久的动力。

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.05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}.rich_media_content p{clear:both;min-height:1em}td p{margin:0;padding:0}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]) .rich_media_content img:not(.wx_img_placeholder){filter:brightness(.8)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) :root{--appmsgPageGap: 20px;--appmsgPageBottomGap: 40px}}:root{--articleFontsize: 17px}:root{--sab: env(safe-area-inset-bottom)}:root{--wxBorderAvatarRatio: 3}:root{--discussPageGap: 20px}:root{--immersive-safe-bottom: env(safe-area-inset-bottom)}:root{--appmsgPageGap: 20px;--appmsgPageBottomGap: 40px}*{margin:0;padding:0}.rich_media_content *{max-width:100%!important;box-sizing:border-box!important;-webkit-box-sizing:border-box!important;word-wrap:break-word!important}

div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}