中金公司提示：优先选择债券投资，目前其性价比较高。

2024-03-25 热点资讯关注公众号

中长期看超车市相对低估，叠加价格修复主线可能重回安全边际。

GUIDE

摘要

中金公司表示，建议先债后股，债券当前性价比更高，美股面临一定波折后更好，黄金抢跑后空间有限、回调后可再介入。

东北证券

认为，国内一系列基于大模型的应用有望在接入Kimi后迎来能力爆发。

海通证券指出，借鉴历史本轮反弹行情或未结束，但短期市场上涨节奏或有放缓。

中金公司

建议先债后股，债券当前性价比更高

中金公司研报认为，3月看似“混乱”的资产背后隐含着三条主线：充裕流动性驱动的比特币、黄金和铜；降息预期驱动的利率、股市和黄金；需求改善与二次通胀预期驱动的铜和油。流动性交易二季度或将面临拐点，再通胀是“涨出来”的逻辑明显抢跑，降息交易或将逐渐成为主线。

资产配置上，方向比时点更重要，当前类似于2019年4—5月。建议先债后股，债券当前性价比更高，美股面临一定波折后更好，黄金抢跑后空间有限、回调后可再介入，再通胀驱动的铜和油需求转好要待降息后。

东北证券

国产AI大模型与算力形成正向循环

东北证券研报指出，Kimi带动国内包括阿里通义千问、百度文心一言、360智脑等AI大模型纷纷宣布推出或预计推出自身长文本模型，国内一系列基于大模型的应用有望在接入Kimi后迎来能力爆发。同时Kimi宣布开放面向所有合规开发者接入，这必然会对已然紧缺的算力资源持续带来压力，进而促进国产AI大模型与算力形成正向循环。同时，伴随一季报临近，市场开始逐渐关注本年度真正有成长有业绩的方向进行布局。

海通证券

短期市场上涨节奏或有放缓，关注行业补涨机会

宏观经济数据出现积极变化，两会后政策加快出台落地，市场对积极因素的关注度显著提升。政策发力下积极信号仍在累积，借鉴历史本轮反弹行情或未结束，但短期市场上涨节奏或有放缓。短期反弹中行业结构较为均衡，短期关注行业补涨机会，中期重视白马股及国资改革。

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