华为重磅产品传来最新消息。
最新消息称,华为手机的供应链公司确认已开始向华为P70系列高端旗舰手机进行批量供货。业内普遍认为,P70系列有望在4月如期发布。
按照华为的迭代策略,Mate60系列后的下一款旗舰手机,便是全新的华为P70系列。
对于P70的销量展望,天风国际证券分析师郭明錤曾发布报告称,若当前强劲的手机库存回补需求可持续到2024年上半年,则P70系列出货量在2024年可望同比增长230%至1300万—1500万部。
华为
P70系列有望4月发布
3月24日,据中证金牛座消息,华为手机的供应链公司确认已开始向华为P70系列高端旗舰手机进行批量供货。此举意味着,华为这款新品正加速走向市场。华为对于P70系列的出货目标指引表现相对乐观,尽管具体发布时间尚未公开,但业界普遍预测,该系列手机有望在今年4月与广大消费者见面。
另据招商证券的最新研报,今年一季度,华为P70系列的零部件产业链已经全面进入备货阶段,各方正在紧锣密鼓地推进相关工作,以确保新品的顺利发布。业内普遍认为,P70系列有望在4月如期发布,并成为上半年手机市场的“爆款”产品。
民生证券的研报同样对华为P70系列的发布充满期待。最新发布的研报指出,随着4月份的临近,华为P70系列的发布已经逐渐成为行业关注的焦点,这款新品有望带动手机产业链的新一轮发展机遇。
华为产业链公司人士表示,消费者对于华为新品的期待非常高,他们预计P70系列的市场需求量将十分旺盛。
同时,该人士还透露,随着向华为供货的毛利率有所提高,这对于供应链公司来说无疑是一个利好消息。
有数码博主透露供应链消息称,近期华为P70加单50%,要求大举备货豪威CMOS图像传感器。从今年以来,豪威CMOS图像传感器供不应求,所有产线开满,24小时不间断。
据《科创板日报》报道,从产业链了解到,华为P70系列的部分型号确实采用豪威传感器做主摄,具体加单比例不详。
另有消费电子其他产业链的相关人士表示,确实有接到P70订单的加单需求,“但我们这边没有50%那么多”。
华为P70能否卖爆?
按照华为的迭代策略,Mate60系列后的下一款旗舰手机,便是全新的华为P70系列。
2023年11月底,知名分析师郭明錤曾发布报告称,华为预计在2024年上半年推出新款旗舰机型P70系列,包括P70、P70 Pro、P70 Pro+与P70 Art。
近日,网络上流传的图片显示,华为P70将于3月23日开启预售,并且还有各个版本的具体售价。华为相关人士表示,不是真的,目前还没有官方消息透露。
对于华为P70的销量展望,郭明錤表示,受益于相机规格升级与麒麟芯片,P70系列出货量将在2024年有显著成长(对比2023年P60系列的400万—500万部)。若当前强劲的手机库存回补需求可持续到2024年上半年,则P70系列出货量在2024年可望同比增长230%至1300万—1500万部。即便库存回补需求在2024年上半年放缓,P70系列出货量仍可望同比增长150%至1000万—1200万部。
郭明錤还表示,即将发布的华为P70 Art即将搭载玻塑混合镜头。随着苹果和华为两家公司相继采用玻塑混合镜头之后,这将成为镜头产业的新关键趋势。
据了解,智能手机市场上应用的玻塑混合镜头,大多来自于舜宇光学与辰瑞光学。其中,舜宇光学为华为产业链的长期伙伴。
当前,华为正在积极推进手机终端产业链的本土化。除了豪威传感器被华为所采用外,欧菲光、汇创达等国内上市企业,与华为在智能手机领域也有长期合作。其中,汇创达为华为智能手机供应精密连接器,而欧菲光摄像头模组进入华为手机Mate 60系列供应链,并占绝大部分份额。
考虑到上一代华为P60系列于2023年3月底发布,预计华为P70系列的发售时间已临近。天风证券表示,自2023年Mate60系列发售以来,华为手机销量持续亮眼。手机产业链预计随着华为手机出货量提升,将有望体现出营收业绩双增。
超越苹果
华为手机自从去年“回归”后,一路高歌猛进。
据Counterpoint Research最新发布的中国智能手机周度销售追踪报告,今年前六周,华为手机销量同比暴涨64%,市占率从9.4%上升到了16.5%,超越了苹果,升至第二位,与排名第一的vivo的差距仅剩下1个百分点。
值得注意的是,2024年前六周,中国整体智能手机销量同比下降7%,其中苹果、OPPO 和 vivo等主要厂商均出现两位数下滑,荣耀微增2%。
报告称华为Mate 60系列持续吸引并满足了强劲的市场需求,成为今年年初为数不多的亮点之一,带动华为整体销量增长64%。
对于华为销量的增长,有媒体报道称,目前更多的增长还是来自于华为Mate60系列,虽然二级市场的加价基本抹平,但仍有部分版本还能加价500元至600元。至于新发布的Nova,也起到了一定作用,后续借助中端市场的发力,将会进一步推动华为手机销量的高速增长。
长城证券邹兰兰认为,华为回归有望重塑国内中高端手机市场竞争格局,推动行业重现活力。
IDC中国高级分析师郭天翔表示:“iPhone15系列产品本身升级幅度对于中国消费者的吸引力有限,而中国品牌在旗舰产品上竞争力的提升,不光是华为的回归,小米14系列、vivo的X100系列、荣耀的折叠屏系列,都对苹果的市场表现形成了较大的压力。”
来源:券商中国 周乐
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