今天,美国那边又传出消息:美国国会近期又出黑手,欲将中国资产排除在指数共同基金之外,并取消相应的资本利得税优惠。
类似的话,不是第一次讲了。
2019年开始,美国就有议员开始提案,禁止使用美国政府养老基金投资中国股票。
2020年,特朗普就曾签署行政令,禁止投资相关中国公司。
过去几年,金融战一直是断断续续,美国是各种手段频出。
此前,哨兵讲过,今年是美国的大选年,他们会频繁出来的“表演”,打一打中国牌。
接下来,还会有各种版本、各种手段、各种乱七八糟的东西,甚至还会升级,大家有心理准备就行。
另外一点,就是人民币贬值的问题。
今天,离岸人民币兑美元,从7.22一路贬值到了7.28,一天将近600个基点。
表面上看,是美元指数走高,导致人民币兑美元贬值。
不过,人民币贬值的幅度,要明显的超过美元指数的涨幅。
所以,贬值还是跟美国那边下黑手有关,两者共同作用的结果。
美国资本投资港股(相对于A股)更多,所以今天港股受到的影响更大,盘中恒指一度跌超3%。
进而拖累了A股,沪指也一度跌1.6%。
不过,午后A股触底反弹,从今天市场的表现来看,有国家队护盘迹象。
下午一开盘,沪深300ETF就开始明显的放量反弹拉升,临近收盘的时候,又放量拉了一下,像是国家队的护盘动作。
最近市场其实还可以的,沪指也一直在3000点以上,其实市场也没指望国家队在这个时候出来护盘,结果还是护了,超预期了。
前几天公布的今年前两个月的金融数据显示:非银行业金融机构贷款增加4294亿元。
这个4294亿,是2015年有这项数据以来的次高,历史最高数据为8864亿元,发生在2015年7月。
当时发生了什么,大家应该都有深刻的印象!
为了救市,证金公司从银行拆借大量资金入市购买股票,推升非银贷款数据。
所以,市场猜测,这个4000多亿,国家队从银行借钱,然后在1、2月份市场下跌时,拿去护盘了(大量买入了ETF)。
2015年,就是这么玩的。当时是直接下场买股票,这次是间接的买入ETF。
不过,借的钱,都是要还的。
这次只有4000多亿,体量不大,再加上整个A股的扩容,这4000多亿的占比,确实比当年要小很多,后续离场时产生的影响,也会相对小很多。
贸易战、科技战、金融战、医药战,层出不穷……
总的来看,今年不管美国人怎么折腾,咱们关键还是得做好自己的事情,坚持就是胜利!
对于A股,也是一样,得自己争气!
前天晚上在《Kimi爆火,今年AI的炒作进入新阶段!》中分析的Kimi概念,前天晚上都在吹,结果昨天大幅高开,开盘后却回落,然后一片悲观之声,结果今天又直接反包上去了。
市场变化的节奏总是这样的快,让人难以跟上,所以大家还是少一些折腾,切忌盲目追涨杀跌!
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